Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo prediction, pick, start time: UFC 313

Amanda Lemos and Iasmin Lucindo meet Saturday on the main card of UFC 313 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom. 

Last event: 2-3
UFC main cards, 2025: 17-13-1

Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo UFC 313 preview

Former title challenger Lemos (14-4-1 MMA, 8-4 UFC) looks to rebound from a submission loss to Virna Jandiroba in July. Lemos’ title shot came against current champ Zhang Weili at UFC 292, a fight she lost by decision. In the following fight, she recorded her most recent victory, a unanimous decision nod over Mackenzie Dern. … Lucindo (17-5 MMA, 4-1 UFC) comes in hot as a winner of four straight. In 2024, she added a pair of wins to her current streak, beating Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision and winning a split decision against Marina Rodriguez.

Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo UFC 313 expert pick, prediction

Filing out the main card is a strawweight scrap between Lemos and Lucindo.

From an experience perspective, this will be a big step up for Lucindo.

Not only is Lemos the more proven product who has fought for a world title, but the 37-year-old is also a skilled striker who can make Lucindo pay for her sometimes stationary head in exchanges. Thankfully for Lucindo, the 23-year-old shows a solid chin and an ability to smartly change gears and go for takedowns (showing solid takedown instincts and leg play in the clinch).

Iasmin Lucindo, who faces Amanda Lemos (a switch-stance fighter who lists herself as a southpaw), is 1-0 opposite UFC-level southpaws, beating Brogan Walker.

Lucindo gets even more spin happy in open-stance affairs, but her hardwiring to counter kicks serves her well. #UFC313 pic.twitter.com/ncBDP4DJqj

— Dan Tom (@DanTomMMA) March 6, 2025

Add in Lucindo’s on paper grappling edge on the floor, and it’s hard not to side with the young Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt to outwork Lemos down the stretch.

The pick is Lucindo by unanimous decision.

Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo UFC 313 odds

Despite the oddsmakers initially opening the former title challenger as a slight favorite, public money has flipped the betting lines, listing Lucindo -132 and Lemos +108 via FanDuel.

Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo UFC 313 start time, how to watch

Lemos and Lucindo are expected to walk to the cage at approximately 10:40 p.m. ET. The fight will stream on ESPN+.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 313.